Checking Claims in Science Reporting

In the Guardian on Saturday, Ben Goldacre's column was called "how to read a paper" and suggested three checks that you can do when presented with scientific claims. These are:

  1. Check the numbers - If there is sufficient data in the article then you should redo the mathematics yourself, especially where statistics and chance are concerned because the subtleties in relating these areas of mathematics to the real world mean that these are the areas that most people get wrong most often.
  2. Check the publications - The claims made should be supported by published, peer-reviewed research. If this is not the case then serious questions must be asked of the claims such as, is the claimant trying to sell me something? A lot of science is communicated to the general public not directly from the scientists but from the press offices of Universities or other research establishments either as a way to increase their esteem, to attract a better quality of researchers, or to provide buzz for a new spin-put venture. As a result, quite often the claims made via press release are quite divorced from the claims made in the underlying research. The reader must therefore go back to the underlying research publications to get a clear understanding of the claim and it's veracity. At this point I must make a plea for all science reporting to include citations to the academic literature where possible. That said, all university press releases should also include reference to underlying research as well.
  3. Check the credentials of the person who is making the claim. Are they someone who is in a position to know about their claim and therefore can assert and subsequently defend their claim?

I would also add my own fourth check:

  • Check the wider field - If there is an established concensus and the claims seek to overturn this concensus then there is a burden of proof associated with the new claims that has to be satisfied

One problem with this approach is that checking claim one requires mathematical ability, and checking claims two and four requires the ability to read and understand academic writing. Reading academic papers is a skill that is not easy to pick up and generally takes most new Ph.D students their first year to really start getting the hang of. Partly this is due to the "academic style" that most papers are written in, and partly because scientific knowledge as gained from academic publications is more akin to a reef of information with each part supporting many other parts. To be able to read and completely understand one paper in a cutting edge area of science may necessitate the reading and understanding of tens or even hundreds of earlier papers that the current paper bullds upon. That said, science is not easy and most people are not scientists. This is not because they couldn't be, they just don't, as a rule, have the necessary background to verify scientific claims for themselves. Rather, the general public must trust the messenger. This is why trust is such an important aspect of science communication and why public engagement with science and scientists is so important. If the public are to take on trust what scientists say, so as to avoid that whole training in science so that they can do it themselves thing, then scientists must do what they can to build that trust. This can include research blogging or science blogging coming off campus once in a while and talking about what they do in normal everyday language with people who are at least sufficiently interested in finding out more to have turned up to a science centre or event.

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American Rhetoric

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As we are looking at rhetorical devices and ways to win an argument this, American Rhetoric is a great resource for finding out more about rhetoric in the real world, particularly political, religious, and entertainment related speeches. I particularly like the audio and visual resources that give a real sense of the impact that a well presented and timely use of rhetoric can have on the positions of an audience, who are, after all, the real persuadee's in this kind of situation.

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Ig Nobel Awards Show @ Dundee

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The Ig Noble Awards show comes to Dundee next month. Perhaps an opportunity to exercise your new critical thinking skills:

Ig Nobel Awards show - 6pm, Saturday 13th March 2010 Dalhousie building, University of Dundee, Old Hawkhill, DD1 4HD A free public event and everyone is welcome. The Ig Nobel Awards Show honours achievements that will make you laugh and then make you think. Marc Abrahams, organiser of the Ig Nobel Prizes and Guardian columnist, will review the past year's improbable research and a gaggle of Ig Nobel Prize winners will try to explain what they did and why they did it, and most importantly answer your questions. This event will entertain you with the latest discoveries and will make research fun and accessible to all! This is the first time that the Ig Nobel show has visited Dundee and is a hugely popular night out wherever it travels. Our speakers will explain;
  • how your underwear could save you from certain death,
  • why you should always keep a look out for flirtatious ostriches,
  • how to avoid problems when using the word 'The',
  • what is the best way to avoid sword-swallowing injuries from the author of the penetrating medical report “Sword Swallowing and Its Side Effects.”.
Book your free tickets at the University's Online Store.
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Informal Logic Overview

I just found this interesting post introducing the subject of informal logic, a more formal way of describing what we call argumentation theory, or "the stuff what we do in this module". It is a useful but very light overview of how everyday argumentation relates to formal logical reasoning. What is interesting though is that the company whose blog this post is on develops argumentation visualisation software for use in online opinion research and public consultation. It is not as advanced as Araucaria, and delib appears to be taking a different approach to ours in the development of MAgtALO. Nevertheless it looks nice, and that is usually half the battle when getting user uptake, engagement and participation. An example of the kind of argumentation visualisation that the amap software provides:

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Media Distortion & Critical Thinking

An interesting article [ pdf mirror ] about distortion in the media which should give you an idea of why a course on critical thinking is a very good thing. I am not suggesting that you guys are not critical thinkers but that quite often people try to mislead or misdirect us and we can't always easily recognise the kinds of tricks that they are using to do this. Additionally it is also difficult to adopt the more adversarial mindset in which the media has to make its case to us before we believe them. Hopefully, by the end of this course we will be better at recognising the tricks that are used against us and will have a more critical default stance.

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Why Argumentation?

A quote attributed to Edsger W. Dijkstra which sums up why computing students in particular should learn effective reasoning skills:

The required techniques of effective reasoning are pretty formal, but as long as programming is done by people that don't master them, the software crisis will remain with us and will be considered an incurable disease. And you know what incurable diseases do: they invite the quacks and charlatans in, who in this case take the form of Software Engineering gurus.
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